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Burnley vs West Ham Prediction

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Burnley vs West Ham Prediction

Match Preview Burnley vs West Ham February 7 2026

This Premier League fixture carries massive weight for both sides. Burnley host West Ham at Turf Moor in what many analysts are calling a six-pointer at the wrong end of the table. Both teams desperately need three points to escape the relegation zone, setting the stage for a tense encounter.

The Clarets have struggled to find their footing this season, posting the league's worst expected goals metrics. Their xG of 0.84 and xGA of 2.11 paint a grim picture of their underlying performance. Meanwhile, West Ham have shown signs of life recently with improved attacking displays under their current setup.

West Ham Victory Looks Solid Value

The market favors the visitors for good reason. Burnley's recent draws against Liverpool and Manchester United might suggest resilience, but the underlying data tells a different story. They've been fortunate in those results, creating minimal chances while relying on defensive luck.

West Ham's attack has clicked into gear with the addition of Castellanos and the continued threat from Bowen. They've scored at least two goals in four consecutive matches, demonstrating genuine firepower that Burnley's porous defense will struggle to contain. The absence of Todibo might weaken their backline, but their offensive quality should prove decisive.

The 2.34 odds on an away win represent solid value given the gulf in attacking metrics between these sides. Burnley's home advantage at Turf Moor hasn't translated into results this season, and their inability to generate consistent scoring opportunities remains their Achilles heel.

Card Markets Offer Additional Value

The disciplinary aspect of this fixture deserves attention given the stakes involved. Burnley average 2.4 yellow cards in their last five home matches, with opponents collecting another 1.8 per game. That creates a combined average of 4.2 cards per match.

West Ham's away record mirrors this trend exactly. They've received 2.0 yellows per game on the road, while their opponents pick up 2.2 cards on average. Again, that's 4.2 cards per match.

This consistency across both teams' recent form suggests the over 3.5 cards line at 1.89 represents excellent value. The pressure of a relegation six-pointer, combined with both teams' combative styles, should ensure the referee stays busy throughout the ninety minutes.

Complete Prediction Summary

Below is our comprehensive breakdown of all betting angles for this crucial Premier League clash. We've analyzed the key markets based on current form, historical data, and tactical matchups.

MarketSelectionOddsConfidence
Match ResultWest Ham Win2.34⭐⭐⭐⭐
Alternative ResultWest Ham Win + Over 1.5 Goals~2.23⭐⭐⭐⭐
Total GoalsOver 2.51.95⭐⭐⭐⭐
Yellow CardsOver 3.51.89⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Correct Score1-2 to West Ham-⭐⭐⭐
Risk BetWest Ham to Score 2+ Goals-⭐⭐⭐⭐

Remember that gambling involves risk. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Past performance and statistics do not guarantee future results.

FAQ

What is the date of the Burnley vs West Ham match?

The match is scheduled for February 7, 2026.

Where is the match being played?

The game will take place at Burnley's home stadium, Turf Moor.

Why is this game important for both teams?

Both teams are fighting to escape the relegation zone, making it a crucial 'six-pointer'.

What are the odds for a West Ham victory?

The current odds for an away win are 2.34.

Is a high-scoring game expected?

Yes, experts recommend the 'Over 2.5 Goals' market at 1.95 due to defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

What is the card market prediction?

Statistically, 'Over 3.5 Cards' is strong value at 1.89 given the intensity of this relegation battle.

Who are the key players to watch for West Ham?

Castellanos and Bowen are the primary attacking threats for the visitors.

What are Burnley's expected goals (xG) stats?

Burnley has one of the league's lowest xG at 0.84 per match.

What is the recommended correct score prediction?

A 1-2 victory for West Ham is suggested based on current attacking trends.

Are there any significant defensive absences?

West Ham might be without Todibo, which could impact their defensive solidity.

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