Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Intriguing Premier League tactical battle at the Vitality Stadium.

Match Preview Home Form Victory Odds Corners Goals Analysis Predictions FAQ

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Match Preview

February 7, 2026 brings a compelling Premier League fixture to the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth host Aston Villa in what promises to be an intriguing tactical battle between two sides at very different points in their current form cycles.

The Cherries have established themselves as one of the most entertaining teams in the division this season. Their home record speaks volumes about their resilience against top-tier opposition. Meanwhile, Villa arrive in Dorset struggling with squad depth issues that have started to manifest in their recent results.

Our team has analyzed the key factors shaping this encounter. Below, we break down what makes this matchup particularly fascinating from a betting perspective.

Why Bournemouth's Freshness Gives Them the Edge

Aston Villa's recent dip in form stems from a straightforward issue: squad depth. When compared to the resources of Arsenal or Manchester City, Birmingham's finest simply don't have the same caliber of backup options across multiple positions.

Unai Emery has attempted rotation where possible, but several positions lack equivalent substitutes. Fatigue has accumulated, and errors have followed. This creates an opportunity for a well-rested Bournemouth side.

The statistics at the Vitality Stadium are telling. Only Arsenal (2:3) and Everton (0:1) have managed to defeat Bournemouth in home Premier League fixtures this campaign. Heavyweights like Liverpool (3:2), Tottenham (3:2), Chelsea (0:0), and Newcastle (0:0) have all failed to solve the Cherries' home puzzle.

Given these dynamics, we see value in backing Bournemouth to avoid defeat at 1.59. The freshness factor combined with their formidable home record makes this a solid foundation for any betting strategy.

Home Victory Offers Attractive Odds

Looking deeper into the physical toll on Villa's squad, the 2.81 available on a Bournemouth win becomes increasingly appealing. The visitors are visibly struggling with fitness levels in recent fixtures, and their lack of squad depth is now impossible to ignore.

Bournemouth have demonstrated they can compete with and defeat elite opposition on their own turf. The psychological advantage of playing at the Vitality Stadium, where the crowd generates genuine intensity, cannot be understated.

When a top-six side arrives in this kind of physical condition against a home team brimming with confidence, the upset potential is real. The 2.81 price represents significant value for punters willing to back the underdog in a matchup where the gap in class is offset by circumstances.

Corner Markets Promise Action

For those who prefer alternative markets, the corner statistics between these sides paint an interesting picture. Both teams maintain high average corner counts per match, and their head-to-head history consistently produces corner-heavy encounters.

The Over 11.5 corners option at 2.40 catches our attention. Bournemouth's attacking approach naturally generates corner situations, while Villa's defensive structure under pressure tends to concede them regularly.

Additionally, the individual corner market for Bournemouth Over 5.5 at 2.00 offers another angle worth considering. If Villa open the scoring, expect the Cherries to pour forward in search of an equalizer, creating a flurry of corner opportunities. Six corners from the home side feels achievable given their tactical tendencies and the likely flow of the game.

Goals Expected at Both Ends

Bournemouth currently sit at peak performance levels. Their recent home victories over Tottenham (3:2) and Liverpool (3:2) showcase their attacking prowess, while a comprehensive away win against Wolverhampton further underlines their credentials.

The numbers are striking: 12 goals in their last 5 home matches at the Vitality Stadium. This is a team that creates chances relentlessly and converts them with efficiency.

Villa, conversely, find themselves in a deep slump. Their last Premier League victory came a month ago, and their attack has dried up completely with just 1 goal in their previous 3 league outings. The injury crisis in midfield compounds their problems, with McGinn, Tielemans, and Kamara all unavailable. This trio's absence impacts both central control and creative output.

However, this depleted Villa side traveling to face such an attack-minded Bournemouth team creates a perfect storm for goals. Historical data supports this thesis: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 9 meetings between these clubs. Bournemouth's matches average 3.5 goals this season, one of the highest rates in the division.

The 1.75 on Over 2.5 goals looks compelling, as does the 1.48 on Bournemouth to score at least once. Even with attacking injuries of their own (Tavernier), the Cherries' overall productivity remains undeniable.

Complete Prediction Overview

Below, we have compiled all our recommended selections for this Premier League clash. Each option has been evaluated based on current form, tactical matchups, and statistical trends.

Prediction	Market	Odds	Confidence
🔥 Bournemouth Double Chance	1X	1.59	High
⚽ Bournemouth to Win	Match Winner	2.81	Medium
🚩 Over 11.5 Corners	Total Corners	2.40	Medium
🎯 Bournemouth Over 1 Goal	Individual Total	1.48	High
📐 Bournemouth Over 5.5 Corners	Individual Corners	2.00	Medium
🎪 Over 2.5 Goals	Total Goals	1.75	High

Gambling involves risk. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

FAQ

When and where is the match?

The match takes place on February 7, 2026, at the Vitality Stadium.

What is the best bet for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Bournemouth Double Chance (1X) at 1.59 is a strong selection given their home record.

Is Aston Villa missing any key players?

Yes, they have an injury crisis in midfield with McGinn, Tielemans, and Kamara unavailable.

How many goals are expected?

Over 2.5 goals is likely (1.75), as Bournemouth home games average 3.5 goals this season.

Can Bournemouth beat Aston Villa?

Yes, a home win is priced at 2.81, reflecting Bournemouth's strong form and Villa's fatigue.

What is the prediction for corners?

Over 11.5 total corners is recommended at odds of 2.40.

Which top teams have failed to win at the Vitality Stadium recently?

Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea, and Newcastle have all failed to win away at Bournemouth this season.

What is Bournemouth's recent scoring record at home?

They have scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches.